29 March 2023. As long as the conflict in Ukraine persists, predictions about its future evolution are hard to make,” writes Dr George N. Tzogopoulos, lecturer and Director of EU-China Programmes at CIFE in his recent paper “The War in Ukraine and Europe’s Choice”: “While European unity has been impressive since 24 February 2022, tensions lurk beneath the surface. The Baltic countries and Poland feel vindicated in their diachronic assessment of Russia and push toward a more muscular EU stance, which is not necessarily endorsed by other member states. Recently, President Macron appeared milder when he said that ‘Russia must be defeated but not crushed’.” (…)
In strategic parlance, the continuation of the war in Ukraine brings the EU to an awkward position, says Tzogopoulos, outlining three scenarios for an end to the war: “A victory for Kyiv, a victory for Moscow, and a stalemate where conflict would occasionally continue, and stability would be fragile.
read more George N. Tzogopoulos: The War in Ukraine and Europe’s Choice
